Modeling the Earthquake Cycle from Faults to Supercomputers
Date: June 22-24, 2026
Location: UCSD, San Diego, CA
Workshop Organizers: Bar Oryan, Alice-Agnes Gabriel, Dave May, Jeena Yun, Yohai Magen
SCEC Award: 26020
Advances in geodetic, seismic, and geological observations now capture fault slip with increasing detail, from slow transient deformation to fluid driven processes and fault zone complexity. However, observations alone cannot explain the underlying physical processes that govern the seismic cycle. Researchers use physics-based models to translate multi-scale and interdisciplinary observational datasets into new scientific insight and improved seismic hazard assessment. Sequences of Earthquakes and Aseismic Slip (SEAS) simulations provide one such bridge and increasingly rely on open-source software and high-performance computing (HPC).
In this SCEC-funded workshop, we will bring together 30 graduate students, postdoctoral researchers, and early career scientists for a science-driven, hands-on program on earthquake-cycle physics and SEAS modeling. Invited speakers Brittany Erickson (University of Oregon), So Ozawa (Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo), Pierre Romanet (GéoAzur, France) and Tom Heaton (Caltech) and participant presenters will highlight new observations of the seismic cycle and their integration into physics-based models, recent advances of SEAS simulations, and community efforts focused on open-source software and code validation. Participants will then translate these concepts into practice through hands-on training using Tandem, an open-source HPC SEAS code for modeling earthquake cycles with realistic fault geometry, material heterogeneity, and frictional behavior. They will learn to design their own simulations, generate meshes using the open-source software Gmsh and run models on laptops and the SDSC supercomputer Expanse via the Science Gateway Quakeworx. We will also discuss visualization and interpretation of SEAS outputs, equipping participants for the future use of SEAS simulations in their own research.
The workshop will take place in La Jolla, California, at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography. Participants will stay on the main UC San Diego campus in double-occupancy rooms and will take a short shuttle to Scripps each day. Food and accommodation will be provided for selected participants, and limited travel support may be available.
The program will begin Monday after lunch (1:30 pm), June 22, and conclude on Wednesday, June 24 late afternoon. Lodging and meals will be provided from Monday lunch through Thursday morning. Participants can fly into San Diego International Airport, which is approximately a 20–30 minute drive from the UC San Diego campus. Participants are expected to attend the full duration of the workshop. Online participation will be available on the first day.
We encourage applications from anyone interested in earthquakes, slow slip events, the physics of seismic cycles and SEAS simulations and are motivated to develop computational and numerical modeling skills. The workshop is especially well-suited for graduate students and postdoctoral researchers with an interest in earthquake physics, geodesy, seismology, geodynamics, or related fields. Prior experience with high-performance computing is not required, but a willingness to engage with computational tools is important.
Computing Requirements: A laptop with the following specifications is required to participate in the workshop:
The schedule below is tentative. Each Tandem session will consist of a brief theoretical overview followed by a hands-on tutorial and practical exercises.
All times are Pacific Daylight Time (UTC-7).Â
| Time | Agenda Item | Speaker |
|---|---|---|
| 12:30 - 13:30 | Optional arrival window with boxed lunch and registration materials | |
| 13:30 - 13:40 | Introduction | Bar Oryan |
| 13:40 - 14:05 | Incorporating Complex Physics and Geometries in SEAS Modeling: Numerical Challenges and Discoveries | Brittany Erickson |
| 14:05 - 14:30 | A perspective on the theory and simulation of non-planar fault networks | Pierre Romanet |
| 14:30 - 15:00 | Coffee break | |
| 15:00 - 15:25 | Role of fluids and faults’ geometrical complexity in the earthquake cycle | So Ozawa |
| 15:25 - 15:50 | Slip pulses are chaotic and they cause fractal prestress | Tom Heaton |
| 16:00 - 17:20 | Poster session | |
| 17:30 | Last shuttle to UCSD main campus | |
| 19:00 - 19:45 | Dinner at dining hall |
| Time | Agenda Item | Speaker |
|---|---|---|
| 07:15 - 08:00 | Breakfast at dining hall | |
| 08:30 - 09:00 | Tandem introduction | Alice Gabriel |
| 09:00 - 10:15 | Session A: Preparing Tandem input files and launching simulations | Yohai Magen |
| 10:15 - 10:30 | 3D frictional and viscous earthquake sequence modeling in Cascadia subduction zone | Wenqiang Zhang |
| 10:30 - 11:00 | Coffee break | |
| 11:00 - 12:15 | Session B: Postprocessing and visualizing Tandem simulations | Jeena Yun |
| 12:15 - 13:15 | Lunch | |
| 13:15 - 13:30 | Earthquake modelling in coupled poroelastic and elastic media | Federico Bucher |
| 13:30 - 13:45 | Linking Paleoseismic Trench Observations to Earthquake Source Characteristics via Distinct Element Method Models | Kristen Chiama |
| 13:45 - 14:45 | Individual Tandem model development with support (and coffee) | |
| 15:00 - 17:00 | Tour of the San Diego Supercomputer Center (take the 15:00 shuttle to UCSD main campus) | |
| 19:00 - 19:45 | Dinner at dining hall |
| Time | Agenda Item | Speaker |
|---|---|---|
| 07:15 - 08:00 | Breakfast at dining hall | |
| 08:30 - 09:45 | Session C: Generating meshes for Tandem with Gmsh | Bar Oryan |
| 09:45 - 11:00 | Poster session (with coffee) | |
| 11:15 - 11:30 | Multi-scale Modeling of Fault Zones with High Resolution Physics | Mohamed Abdelmeguid |
| 11:30 - 11:45 | FASTDASH: an implementation of 3-D earthquake cycle simulation on complex fault systems using the boundary element method accelerated by H-matrices | Jinhui Cheng |
| 11:45 - 12:45 | Lunch | |
| 12:45 - 13:45 | Session D: Running and compiling Tandem on HPC: Quakeworx and external clusters | Jeena Yun and Bar Oryan |
| 13:45 - 14:00 | Pore Pressure Perturbations on Rough Fault Earthquake Cycle Simulations | Leonardo Aguilar Suarez |
| 14:00 - 14:30 | Coffee break | |
| 14:30 - 15:45 | Individual Tandem model development with support | |
| 15:45 - 16:00 | Concluding remarks | Bar Oryan |
| 16:30 - 18:30 | Optional end-of-workshop bites at Shore Rider | |
| 19:00 - 19:45 | Dinner at dining hall |
| # | Last Name | First Name | Poster Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vogel | Em | Evaluating Tidal Triggering of Subduction Zone Earthquakes Using 2D Earthquake Cycle Simulations |
| 2 | Haque | Dewan Mohammad Enamul | AI-powered interseismic surface displacement predictions and physics-guided coseismic PGA field generation related to the 2025-2026 Earthquake sequence in Bangladesh |
| 3 | Zhai | Peng | Small and large earthquakes arising from weak fault zone deformation |
| 4 | Custard | Alaura | Using Episodic Tremor and Slip to Characterize Segmentation Boundaries in Cascadia |
| 5 | Tan | Morow | Triggered Aseismic Creep Following the 2023 Ocotillo Swarm Constrained by 3D InSAR Observations |
| 6 | Cui | Xin | Spatiotemporal evolution of fault slip before induced earthquakes |
| 7 | Tang | Yuxiang (Gideon) | Probabilistic Faudi Displacement Hazard Analysis for the Willunga Fault in Australia |
| 8 | Agboola | Kayode | Arc-Scale Imaging of the Cascade Volcanoes Using Ambient Noise Imaging Technique |
| 9 | Botell | Brittany | Comprehensive Benchmarking and Comparison of Dynamic Rupture Codes DRDG3D and Faultmod |
| 10 | Jaman | Md Hasnat | GNSS Constraints on Deformation and Seismic Hazard Along the Dauki Fault, Bangladesh |
| 11 | Jiang | Yu | Characterizing Aseismic Stress Transients During Earthquake Swarms in California and Nevada From Seismicity Rate Observations |
| 12 | K C | Sajan | Earthquake Ground Motion Simulation Validation in California and their Engineering Relevance |
| 13 | Li | Linxuan | Ubiquitous Interactions and Subcritical Patches Explain the Irregularity of Repeating Earthquakes |
| 15 | Melhorato | Rodrigo | Long-term modelling of earthquake swarms in shallow crust in the South American Intraplate |
| 16 | Mishra | Eshanta | InSAR-Based Monitoring of Slow Slip Events in the Cascadia Subduction Zone |
| 17 | O'Kane | Aisling | Constraining historical earthquake sequences in the New Zealand transition zone using paleoseismic records and ground motion modelling |
| 18 | Odhiambo | Caroline | Earthquake Cycle Dynamics and the Response of Engineered Structures in the East African Rift System |
| 19 | Salinas | Matthew | Compton blind thrust fault paleoseismology - Connecting compressional structures in the LA metropolitan area |
| 20 | Shi | Qian | Flow2QuakeDFN: coupling quasi-dynamic ruptures with complicated pore pressure, poro-elastic and thermo-elastic stresses |
| 21 | Shrestha | Rajani | Earthquake recurrence intervals in numerical simulations on a planar, homogeneous fault |
| 22 | Sun | Yudong | Experimental and Numerical Modeling of Earthquake Rupture Interactions Across Multiple Asperities and Barriers |
| 14 | Liu | Zhen | Unravelling Slow Earthquake Variability in Cascadia Margin |
| Last Name | First Name | Organization |
|---|---|---|
| Abdelmeguid | Mohamed | California Institute of Technology |
| Agboola | Kayode | Cornell University |
| Aguilar Suarez | Leonardo | Stanford University |
| Bongoyo | Ally | University Of Dar Es Salaam |
| Botell | Brittany | University of Memphis |
| Bucher | Federico | Universidad Nacional de La Plata |
| Chai | Lin | University of Science and Technology of China |
| Cheng | Jinhui | California Institute of Technology |
| Chiama | Kristen | University of Southern California |
| Cui | Xin | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
| Custard | Alaura | University of Kansas |
| Erickson | Britanny | University of Oregon |
| Gabriel | Alice-Agnes | University of California, San Diego |
| Haque | Dewan Mohammad Enamul | Louisiana State University |
| Jaman | Md Hasnat | Columbia University |
| Jiang | Yu | University of Nevada, Reno |
| K C | Sajan | University of Southern California |
| Kuncoro | Alvina | Institut Teknologi Bandung |
| Li | Linxuan | California Institute of Technology |
| Liu | Lei | University of Science and Technology of China |
| Liu | Zhen | JPL / California Institute of Technology |
| Magen | Yohai | University of California, San Diego |
| May | Dave | University of California, San Diego |
| Melhorato | Rodrigo | Instituto Militar de Engenharia |
| Mishra | Eshanta | The University of Texas at Dallas |
| Mohanty | Aditya | CSIR - National Geophysical Research Institute |
| O'Kane | Aisling | Victoria University of Wellington |
| Odhiambo | Caroline | University of Nairobi |
| Ojeda | Javier | Universidad de Concepción |
| Oryan | Bar | University of California, San Diego |
| Osumeje | Joseph | University of Michigan |
| Ozawa | So | Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo |
| Palle | Jyothsna | CSIR - National Geophysical Research Institute |
| Rani | Priya | Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur, India |
| Rapaport Bruck | Eitan | University of California, San Diego |
| Romanet | Pierre | CEREMA/GéoAzur |
| Salinas | Matthew | University of Southern California |
| Sharma | Yogendra | National Cheng Kung University, Taiwan |
| Shi | Qian | California Institute of Technology |
| Shrestha | Rajani | California Institute of Technology |
| Sun | Yudong | Stanford University |
| Tan | Morow | University of Colorado Boulder |
| Tang | Yuxiang (Gideon) | The University of Melbourne |
| Tomar | Yashpal Singh | National Centre for Seismology |
| Vogel | Em | University of Michigan |
| Yun | Jeena | University of California, San Diego |
| Zhai | Peng | University of Michigan |
| Zhang | Wenqiang | Stanford University |
The Statewide California Earthquake Center (SCEC) fosters a diverse and inclusive community where everyone feels safe, productive, and welcome. We expect all participants in SCEC-supported events to uphold this commitment by adhering to the SCEC Activities Code of Conduct.
The SCEC Annual Meeting brings together 400-500 participants worldwide to share breakthroughs, assess progress, and chart a collaborative path for earthquake science. All of the Center activities are presented, analyzed, and woven into a set of priorities for SCEC to pursue in the future.